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Climate-driven, but dynamic and complex? A reconciliation of competing hypotheses for species’ distributions

Abstract Estimates of the percentage of species “committed to extinction” by climate change range from 15% to 37%. The question is whether factors other than climate need to be included in models predicting species’ range change. We created …

Climatic sensitivities derived from tree rings improve predictions of the Forest Vegetation Simulator growth and yield model

Forest management has the potential to contribute to the removal of greenhouse gasses from the atmosphere via carbon sequestration and storage. To identify management actions that will maximize carbon removal and storage over the long term, models …

Ecological forecasting of tree growth: Regional fusion of tree-ring and forest inventory data to quantify drivers and characterize uncertainty

Abstract Robust ecological forecasting of tree growth under future climate conditions is critical to anticipate future forest carbon storage and flux. Here, we apply three ingredients of ecological forecasting that are key to improving forecast …

Legacy effects in radial tree growth are rarely significant after accounting for biological memory

Abstract Drought legacies in radial tree growth are an important feature of variability in biomass accumulation and are widely used to characterize forest resilience to climate change. Defined as a deviation from normal growth, the statistical …

The policy and ecology of forest-based climate mitigation: challenges, needs, and opportunities

Adding Tree Rings to North America's National Forest Inventories: An Essential Tool to Guide Drawdown of Atmospheric CO2

Tree-ring time series provide long-term, annually resolved information on the growth of trees. When sampled in a systematic context, tree-ring data can be scaled to estimate the forest carbon capture and storage of landscapes, biomes, …

Statistical age determination of tree rings

Dendrochronology, the study of annual rings formed by trees and woody plants, has important applications in research of climate and environmental phenomena of the past. Since its inception in the late 19th century, dendrochronology has not had a way …

Continental-scale tree-ring-based projection of Douglas-fir growth: Testing the limits of space-for-time substitution

Abstract A central challenge in global change research is the projection of the future behavior of a system based upon past observations. Tree-ring data have been used increasingly over the last decade to project tree growth and forest ecosystem …

Dendroecology meets genomics in the common garden: new insights into climate adaptation

This article is a Commentary on Housset et al., 218: 630–645.

Disentangling competitive vs. climatic drivers of tropical forest mortality

Abstract Tropical forest mortality is controlled by both biotic and abiotic processes, but how these processes interact to determine forest structure is not well understood. Using long-term demography data from permanent forest plots at the Paracou …